Monday, June 15, 2009

Something Happening Here....


It's hard for the gasbags of the non stop news media to stop spinning long enough to actually absorb the reality around them. We have watched the events in Iran unfold for the last 72 hours. The main thought that comes to me is that I am seeing a new kind of revolution. The technology that is allowing us to see what is happening in Iran cannot be controlled by the mullahs. They have tried to shut down all of the conventional networks, but they can't stop twitter. They can't control the systems that bypass the land lines and networks.

I heard an analysist say on Al Jazeera that to stop twitter would require shutting down the nations mobile phone network and that would affect all of Irans commerce. It would be in effect as if the government had created a national strike.
The latest numbers on Al Jazeera have over a million people marching in Tehran and huge demonstrations in all of the major cities.
There has been one death so far reported after the police opened fire into a crowd in Tehran, but my feeling is that there will be little real bloodshed.

We are seeing a revolution unfold, a fluid situation with the mullahs trying to ride the crest of the wave of popular sentiment. After all, the Persians invented chess.
The Iranian revolution, in 1979 was an uprising against the Shah and the police state installed when the democratically elected government was overthrown by an American assisted military coup. They didn't know what they wanted, but they didn't want the Shah.

This time, the people know what they want. They want a representational democracy.
The election, just by the per centage of the win claimed by Ahmadinejad, is patently a sham. Various sources in Iran are stating that Musavi wong the election, Revi came in second and Ahmadinejad came in third.

It is worth remembering that in the last election, when Ahmadinejad won, 5 years ago, it was a very narrow victory and had to go to a run off.
This is an incredibly fluid situation. It is no time for American officials to make statements. We can support the fight for free and open and honest elections and stand in awe at citizens raising their arms, ready to die for ideas! But any attempt to influence the struggle by rhetoric could sway the delicate balance and we must understand that our attempts to influence events invariably has the opposite effect of our intentions.

America already has too much to answer for regarding the course of history in Iran.

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